Got a quick 3" in 3 hours this morning
Driveway was completely clear
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Monday, February 23, 2026
February 23rd Blizzard
This is more like a retrospective at this point.
We became aware of a potential bomb situation around the 16th, or a week before. ICON and GFS hinting at blizzards.
Ukie and GFS had same idea, which was strange
On the 17th, the GFS had a 967 low over the benchmark
WPC though had it east of the BM like the Euro, but they'd correct
Euro edged further west with time
GFS on the other hand was more steady and edged a touch east last few runs
Snow started early morning on the 22nd with light snow through the day with no accumulation. Once the sun lowered, the snow began to stick and around 6pm the main batch of precip arrived. By 7pm it was snowing moderately then became heavy with 1-1.5" rates between 8pm and 12 with total of 7" by midnight. By morning 13" had fallen with an additional two falling during the course of the day of the 23rd. 15" total on the deck, with other areas to our west and east benefiting from banding a bit more.
This was the RAP forecast from 15z the 22nd
And the 500mb from spc meso page
Some radar pictures and satellite
Some snow maps from 48 hrs before.
The storm shifted about 30-50 miles east sparing most of PA but smashing RI and SE MA with over 30 inches. CT and NYC area got mostly 12-24"with LI getting the most. Some selected totals from NWS
...Hartford County... 1 SSE Marlborough 17.0 in 1254 PM 02/23 2 WSW Burlington 16.5 in 0305 PM 02/23...Tolland County...
2 E Vernon 16.0 in 0236 PM 02/23 1 W Tolland 15.5 in 0436 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter
...Windham County... 1 SW Killingly 27.7 in 0534 PM 02/23 3 SE Wauregan 27.0 in 0610 PM 02/23
...Bristol County... 2 NNE Bliss Corner 37.0 in 0800 PM 02/23 1 NE Somerset 36.0 in 0954 PM 02/23 Somerset 0.4 SSE 36.0 in 0600 AM 02/24 COCORAHS Dartmouth 33.0 in 0430 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter Westport 32.0 in 0430 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter 3 NNW Dighton 32.0 in 0715 PM 02/23 1 NNE Attleborough 32.0 in 0825 PM 02/23 NWS Boston/Norton 31.8 in 0703 PM 02/23 Official NWS Obs ...Essex County...
1 ESE Gloucester 22.0 in 1035 PM 02/23 Andover 0.6 E 21.0 in 0620 AM 02/24 COCORAHS 2 NNE Marblehead 16.6 in 0854 PM 02/23
...Norfolk County... 1 ESE Sharon 32.5 in 0630 PM 02/23 Stoughton 26.5 in 0100 AM 02/24 Trained Spotter Stoughton 25.0 in 0345 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter 3 S Weymouth 25.0 in 1143 PM 02/23 1 NNE Foxborough 24.5 in 1200 PM 02/23
...Plymouth County... 1 SW Kingston 36.0 in 0642 PM 02/23 Lakeville 36.0 in 0800 PM 02/23 North Scituate 32.0 in 0617 PM 02/23 1 ESE Middleborough 31.2 in 0910 PM 02/23 Brockton 31.0 in 1000 PM 02/23 Bridgewater 31.0 in 1000 PM 02/23 3 NNE West Wareham 30.1 in 0748 PM 02/23..Worcester County...
2 SSW Harvard 22.5 in 0425 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Milford 19.5 in 0639 PM 02/23 1 WNW Milford 18.5 in 0412 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter 1 S Leominster 18.0 in 0940 PM 02/23
...Rhode Island... ...Bristol County... 1 NW Warren 35.5 in 0825 PM 02/23 1 E Bristol 32.0 in 0810 PM 02/23...Kent County...
TF Green AP 37.9 in 0701 PM 02/23 Official NWS Obs 1 SE Warwick 36.2 in 0310 PM 02/23 2 SSE Coventry 33.5 in 0705 PM 02/23 1 NNE Coventry 32.0 in 0515 PM 02/23 ...Newport County...
1 SSW Newport AP 34.0 in 0900 PM 02/23 2 S Tiverton 31.0 in 0800 PM 02/23
...Providence County... 2 ENE Cranston 37.0 in 0450 PM 02/23 Cranston 1.7 NNE 37.0 in 0700 AM 02/24 COCORAHS 2 ENE Providence 36.1 in 0547 PM 02/23 1 S Providence 36.0 in 0421 PM 02/23 Amateur Radio...Washington County... 3 W North Kingstown 36.0 in 0740 PM 02/23 North Kingstown 35.0 in 0233 PM 02/23 Trained Spotter 3 W South Kingstown 34.0 in 0720 PM 02/23
Thursday, January 22, 2026
Jan 25th 2026
Result: 15" fell with another two the following day. Not a lot of wind, but the snow was very grainy but light. Tossed 15" with ease. Rain gauge was completely covered. Some parts saw 20" but most of the state was in the 12-18" range
Major disruptive storm to affect much of the east.
Energy in the SW will move out phasing with energy coming from the north. Dual lows will form, one in the gulf running up the apps or just west, and another off SC/GA and going up coast. Not the fastest system.
Ahead of the system a near record 1052mb high will bring down record breaking arctic air across the northern half of the country. As the storm ejects from the SW, this will result in warm air in front of it riding up and over the arctic air. The result is a wide area of winter weather, with snow, sleet and freezing rain over most of the eastern states. Below are the Euro and GFS ensemble snow fall predictions. Note the widespread 6+ amount.
This is the National Blend of Models
The operational models more extreme. Canadian being the furthest north. Expecting high ratios in the Mid Atlantic and Northeast as temps are in the single digits and teens and the DGZ is low and large.
What can go wrong? Phase isn't as strong or timed differently. If the northern system gets stronger and buckles the jet more, then the storm can go north. However, there's a pretty strong banana high that it has to move. Not sure about how we get this storm south at this point though. It's a really wide 12-18 swath going from the PA/MD border to Canada/NY border. While the edges can fluctuate 6" or so, we are pretty much in the middle. It would have to shift south by 400 miles, which I guess could happen if the northern stream just continues east instead of diving into the mid west.
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11/27 update - happy thanksgiving. GFS has gone from major noreaster, to huge cutter to lakes and now has a minor clipper system sinking do... -
2/22 - results 5.25 inches. Snow started at 2, lasted 12 hrs with varying intensity and types of snow. Kudos for the models, weather serv... -
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2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...