Hurricane season begins June 1, but we had to wait until June 28 for our first Tropical Storm. As mentioned in the previous post, conditions looked good for development, and sure enough it happened. Arlene should remain a TS and move into Mexico early tomorrow.
As a fun note, our 18th storm will be named Sean. Not thinking we will get that far though.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Saturday, June 25, 2011
May/June
After a 1.3+ normal May, with above normal precip, we expected a cool June. Well, we got our first 90 reading in June, on the 8th, forcing Danbury schools to dismiss early. Strong storms following the "heat wave" (two days of temps at 90), brought down trees and power lines, forcing the closing of area schools completely (except Danbury).
June is running below normal temp wise, despite the few days of heat at the start. We've been locked into a pattern where an upper low sits over the lakes, keeping it cool with on and off rain. In the 14 days since the heatwave broke, only 4 had no rain, with no above normal highs.
First signs of hurricane season showing up on the GFS with a TS making landfall around the TX/LA area on the 7th-8th. Not seen on the euro though, not yet at least
June is running below normal temp wise, despite the few days of heat at the start. We've been locked into a pattern where an upper low sits over the lakes, keeping it cool with on and off rain. In the 14 days since the heatwave broke, only 4 had no rain, with no above normal highs.
First signs of hurricane season showing up on the GFS with a TS making landfall around the TX/LA area on the 7th-8th. Not seen on the euro though, not yet at least
-
11/27 update - happy thanksgiving. GFS has gone from major noreaster, to huge cutter to lakes and now has a minor clipper system sinking do...
-
0z above with explosive development 12 z below prior to explosive development While the October snow was certainly impressive and rare, a r...
-
Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...