Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Real Heat Wave possible
The excess moisture in the ground from spring until now has been using up a lot of the suns energy, with evaporation causing some cooling. However, once that moisture is gone, then the real heat waves can get started. So far this year the high in DXR is 90. IMBY its 89. However, the last few days were in the upper 80's and no rain as dry fronts came through. This sets the stage as we cycle through another nice pattern, leading to the heat wave which the Euro shows for the end of next week. And while that ridge centered over VA brings us the heat, it will also open the Gulf up for activity, although the Euro shows no LP developing at this time. GFS also shows heat wave potential, but no tropical activity
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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While its still 10 days off, the GFS is picking up an enormous trough for the eastern part of the country with the 0 line at 850mb (where it...
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12-20 - post mortem - this was the day it was supposed to hit. After witnessing model flip flops from way ots to 30 inches in Millville and...