More on the winter outlook

 Capital Weather Gang put out their forecast.  Link to gifted article. https://wapo.st/47mpvBK

This is the composite for their analog years of 1972, 2002 and 2009

This is what the long term anomaly is

Spring/Summer/Fall stats for 2023

 Some stats for 2023

Last Frost: May 17

Warmest Day:  91° on April 14th.

First day over 65: Jan 4th

First day over 70: April 4th

First day over 80: April 12th

First day over 90: April 14th

Most rain in 24hrs: 4.67" on Sept 30th

Heaviest rain rate: 3.54" in 3 hours on Sept 11th

Deviations in temps for OXC: April +4.5; May -0.7, June -0.8, July +3.4, Aug +0.1, Sep +3.8, Oct +5.6

First frost in fall: Nov 2 (average is Oct 14th)

First freeze in fall: Nov 2

Other items of note: 

•  July had over 8" of rain with NO tropical systems involved
• August continued with 5.73" of rain, above normal
• September had 12.3" of rain, including some tropical remnants
• Prior to this we were in early drought stages