Setp 3
Fiona lost some energy into Earl, then suffered some shear from Earl. Then the upper feature kept going west, while the low level circ headed NE. Fiona looked like a airplane going down, trailing smoke behind her. She did get very close to Bermuda as a TS
August 30
GFS completely loses Fiona
Euro takes her into SC
NHC models and ATCF models all over the place
Hwrf goes up to nc/va border, hooks west and abruptly ends as trop storm
CMC keeps fiona well out to sea, east of earl and so does Gaston
August 29 - todays gfdl, hrwrf, and atcf models all are keeping fiona well out to sea
Euro has it going south of FL.
CMC moves it into the bahamas at 144
UKMET passes north of the bahamas at 144
GFS recurves well out to sea
Intensity has fiona at high ts or low hurricane
August 28 - todays 240 ecmwf has fiona at 72w 31n for 07 sep 7
gfs has earl at 72w32n on 0z sep3, with fiona swept out by earl
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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While its still 10 days off, the GFS is picking up an enormous trough for the eastern part of the country with the 0 line at 850mb (where it...
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12-20 - post mortem - this was the day it was supposed to hit. After witnessing model flip flops from way ots to 30 inches in Millville and...
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