GFS and Euro picking up on what could be a storm that is close to the December blizzard. Its still far out and there is plenty of time for it to drift westward in its track, but right now, the 18z wacky gfs has a 15-20 inch storm, which I would normally dismiss, but the Euro has a 12+ storm now, the 12z gfs had a 972 low just inside the benchmark, and the dgex has it just east of the bm.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Thursday, February 3, 2011
A big one shows up around the 10th
2-7 - the upper air pattern no longer supports a strong neg trough which would bring this. Instead its strung out positive, launching a few weak lows off the outerbanks. Being 72 hrs out with the energy onshore already, not likely going to adjust far enough n or w to affect us here.



GFS and Euro picking up on what could be a storm that is close to the December blizzard. Its still far out and there is plenty of time for it to drift westward in its track, but right now, the 18z wacky gfs has a 15-20 inch storm, which I would normally dismiss, but the Euro has a 12+ storm now, the 12z gfs had a 972 low just inside the benchmark, and the dgex has it just east of the bm.
GFS and Euro picking up on what could be a storm that is close to the December blizzard. Its still far out and there is plenty of time for it to drift westward in its track, but right now, the 18z wacky gfs has a 15-20 inch storm, which I would normally dismiss, but the Euro has a 12+ storm now, the 12z gfs had a 972 low just inside the benchmark, and the dgex has it just east of the bm.
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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11/27 update - happy thanksgiving. GFS has gone from major noreaster, to huge cutter to lakes and now has a minor clipper system sinking do...
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Hurricane season begins June 1, but we had to wait until June 28 for our first Tropical Storm. As mentioned in the previous post, condition...
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2/22 - results 5.25 inches. Snow started at 2, lasted 12 hrs with varying intensity and types of snow. Kudos for the models, weather serv...
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