Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Monday, July 30, 2012
Where are the tropical systems
Not much to post on in July. Dry saharan air is keeping the waves off Africa from developing. There is also a good amount of sheer as well. Now in the season is when to look for longer running storms, and we finally have one on the GFS, Euro and CMC. The CMC develops fully and brings it NW just short of the islands. The GFS develops a weaker storm, bringing due west and the Euro keeps it a wave moving west into the Caribbean. NHC is on this with a 20% chance of development. Sheer in the area is currently light to moderate and the dust is further north, so there is a pretty good chance of development.
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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2/22 - results 5.25 inches. Snow started at 2, lasted 12 hrs with varying intensity and types of snow. Kudos for the models, weather serv...
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Hurricane season begins June 1, but we had to wait until June 28 for our first Tropical Storm. As mentioned in the previous post, condition...
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I found this afternoons Euro run disappointing and started to look into it more to see what went wrong. The premise of this storm is that th...
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