1-21 - snow started early, went from 10 or so on, small flakes until 3 or so. 3" at 5pm. Should this band stick over us, 8" is realistic. If the band pivots off, then 4-6". No changes on models, just a matter of where the bands set up.
1-20 Wasn't going to open a post on this one since it was a measly clipper, progged to go south and east of us. But the precip amounts are trending NW and the .5 qpf line on the 12z gfs is running from the NE corner of CT to SW corner. NWS has WS Watches out for coastal areas. Based on the trend of the GFS and NAM, we may end up with a WS Watch later today or a quick warning tomorrow afternoon. Current call for DXR is 4-8 based on the .4 qpf on the latest gfs and a 15:1 ratio. Temps in the teens most of the day.
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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While its still 10 days off, the GFS is picking up an enormous trough for the eastern part of the country with the 0 line at 850mb (where it...
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12-20 - post mortem - this was the day it was supposed to hit. After witnessing model flip flops from way ots to 30 inches in Millville and...
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