11-22 Close, so close. NMM had some snow forecast for Eastern CT. But raw, cloudy and cold instead. Nothing to blog about in the next ten days.
11/20 - close, but not seeing signs of it shifting back west. Less amped. Wondering if this is a sign for the winter.
11/17 First threat of a snow storm for the NE this season showing on the Euro this morning, but keeps the accumulating snow to our N and W. While the 1000-500 thickness looks good (see blue line on MSLP chart), the surface and 925mb temps are too warm for our area. 850's support snow, so there may be some in the air, particularly in heavier bursts, but otherwise should be liquid and non accumulating. GFS has some snow as well on the 6z run, but its weaker overall with the secondary development shown on the Euro. CMC has a dry front come through.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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While its still 10 days off, the GFS is picking up an enormous trough for the eastern part of the country with the 0 line at 850mb (where it...
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12-20 - post mortem - this was the day it was supposed to hit. After witnessing model flip flops from way ots to 30 inches in Millville and...
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