Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Has anyone heard the D word mentioned?
3/15 - Well the winter is winding down. Despite the long runs of the gfs operational and ensembles insisting a trough coming in 3/20 for the duration of the model run (15 days) and temps at 5000 feet staying below freezing, there seems to be no storms to take advantage of the cold air. Which brings up an interesting, scary fact. At DXR (danbury airport) the precip for the last 6 months is 18.07 inches. Normal is 24.46 inches. So its 75% of normal with only January having above normal precip. The NY reservoirs in Putnam are very, very low.
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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12-20 - post mortem - this was the day it was supposed to hit. After witnessing model flip flops from way ots to 30 inches in Millville and...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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2/22 - results 5.25 inches. Snow started at 2, lasted 12 hrs with varying intensity and types of snow. Kudos for the models, weather serv...
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