3-11 No longer any prediction of the trough in the east for the 16-19th on the EUro or GFS. Canadian has nice storm/trough on the 18th. Euro has wave hitting around CT on the 16th (late 15th) with temps marginal for snow. Gfs has that wave further south. So, there is a chance of snow/rain on Sunday into monday. We need the snow at night this time of year. Average highs in CT are in the mid forties.
This time of year storm track can no longer be counted on to bring snow. Cold air must be in place and the storm must pass east or south of the area. As of now, models have one storm, weak, off coast 3/16, but bringing more rain than snow. Then clear the 17th and then the trough buckles on the 18th with perhaps a rain to snow event. CMC and GFS are only models this far out as of today (3/9) though. Updates if things change.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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While its still 10 days off, the GFS is picking up an enormous trough for the eastern part of the country with the 0 line at 850mb (where it...
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12-20 - post mortem - this was the day it was supposed to hit. After witnessing model flip flops from way ots to 30 inches in Millville and...
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