9-22 Jose was changed to an extratropical storm overnight. But per NHC still producing tropical storm conditions. Still spinning off coast. Some reports of 6" of rain in Nantucket, but can't verify that.
Found the totals so far
*******************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS RAINFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT MASSACHUSETTS ...BARNSTABLE COUNTY... WEST HARWICH 2.32 800 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER CHATHAM 2.23 800 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER EAST SANDWICH 2.01 600 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER 2 NW CHATHAM 1.76 800 AM 9/22 ASOS WOODS HOLE 1.69 600 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER HYANNIS 1.64 800 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER 2 NE HYANNIS 1.57 800 AM 9/22 ASOS ...BRISTOL COUNTY... 4 ESE TAUNTON 2.15 800 AM 9/22 ASOS NEW BEDFORD 1.62 700 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER TAUNTON 1.16 700 AM 9/22 NWS OFFICE ...DUKES COUNTY... EDGARTOWN 3.33 900 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER 3 S VINEYARD HAVEN 3.17 800 AM 9/22 ASOS ...NANTUCKET COUNTY... 2 ESE NANTUCKET 6.11 800 AM 9/22 ASOS NANTUCKET 5.95 950 PM 9/21 HAM RADIO ...PLYMOUTH COUNTY... 4 SW PLYMOUTH 2.43 800 AM 9/22 ASOS MIDDLEBORO 2.35 700 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER ROCHESTER 1.73 700 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER BRIDGEWATER 1.43 700 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER ***********************PEAK WIND GUST*********************** LOCATION MAX WIND TIME/DATE COMMENTS GUST OF MPH MEASUREMENT MASSACHUSETTS ...ANZ231... 1 W FIRST ENCOUNTER 51 900 PM 9/21 MARINE MESONET ...ANZ232... 2 SSW HYANNIS PARK 49 430 PM 9/21 MARINE MESONET 10 N FISHERS LANDING 49 950 PM 9/21 BUOY 44020 ...ANZ235... 6 WSW CUTTYHUNK 59 1159 PM 9/21 BUOY BUZM3 ...ANZ251... 1 E DUXBURY 48 455 AM 9/22 MARINE MESONET ...ANZ254... 1 E WELLFLEET BY THE 52 235 AM 9/22 MARINE MESONET ...BARNSTABLE COUNTY... EAST FALMOUTH 58 111 AM 9/22 TRAINED SPOTTER WOODS HOLE 57 322 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO BARNSTABLE 53 532 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO MARSTONS MILLS 49 549 AM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO WELLFLEET 47 403 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO BREWSTER 47 1213 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO ...BRISTOL COUNTY... FALL RIVER 54 224 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO FAIRHAVEN 47 441 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO ...DUKES COUNTY... AQUINNAH 62 613 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO EDGARTOWN 58 305 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO 1 N VINEYARD HAVEN 55 908 AM 9/21 MARINE MESONET VINEYARD HAVEN 51 234 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO 3 S VINEYARD HAVEN 49 624 PM 9/21 MVY ASOS ...ESSEX COUNTY... ROCKPORT 49 1100 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO ...NANTUCKET COUNTY... NANTUCKET 62 318 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO 2 ESE NANTUCKET 58 435 PM 9/21 ASOS ...NORFOLK COUNTY... 3 SSW MILTON 49 145 PM 9/21 MQE ASOS ...PLYMOUTH COUNTY... 4 SW PLYMOUTH 51 323 PM 9/21 PYM ASOS PLYMOUTH 46 358 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO RHODE ISLAND ...ANZ236... 1 SSW NAYATT 49 306 PM 9/21 NOS CPTR1 ...BRISTOL COUNTY... BRISTOL 48 338 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO ...KENT COUNTY... WARWICK 48 430 AM 9/21 HAM RADIO ...NEWPORT COUNTY... JAMESTOWN 53 1024 PM 9/21 AMATEUR RADIO 4 NE NEWPORT 52 1011 PM 9/21 UUU ASOS ...WASHINGTON COUNTY... BLOCK ISLAND 61 316 AM 9/22 CO-OP OBSERVER NEW SHOREHAM 53 156 AM 9/22 BID AWOS CHARLESTOWN 51 240 AM 9/22 AMATEUR RADIO
9-21 Jose still there - just some breezy conditions here, with the NWS reporting TS winds on the Islands. Jose is just spinning in place today.
9-20
Jose continues offshore
some WU stations in the area of Jose (sustain/gust)
Peconic Bay winds 30mph gusting to 40
Block Island with winds of 40mph gusting to 45
Reeves Beach (LI) 39w, 40g
Montauk Lighthouse 45w, 51g (ignore other winds, not likely)
Lagoon Pond Vineyard Haven 47s/53g
Siasconset (ACK) 32s/44g
ACK Airport 33s/42g
Nobska Point Woods Hole 38s/42g
Buoy 44008 33kts/47kts 17ft waves
My closest station to work Crisculo park is blowing between 25mph and 30mph
9-19
Jose's coordinates at 8am were 36.3/71.6. 8pm was 37.5/71.2. 75 nautical miles in 12 hours. Same pace as previous 12 hours. We got .23 inches of rain.
Some WU observations as of 11am.
FFire Island Pines with 31mph winds and 39mph gust
Montauk Lighthouse with 39mph winds and 43mph gust
Gilgo Beach, LI 38mph winds, gust to 44
Sedge Island (IBSP/LBI) 37mph with 41mph gusts
Beach Haven with 47mph winds, 58mph gusts. I don't remember seeing the GFS coming in with gusts that high.
Wildwood witn 41mph wind 47gusts
Steelman Bay Brigantine 47mph with 52mph gusts
Lewes Beach 31mph with 39mph gusts
From 5pm to 5am, center of Jose went from 34.8N/71.1W to 36N/71.3W, which is 73 Nautical miles, at an average speed of 6kts.
9-18 All models have it as an out to sea storm. Some still looping back into land, but others just spin out. Either way, Jose is barely surviving. Here is tonight's satellite - lost the circulation at sunset.
9-16 GFS continues to trend east since 12z yesterday.
Euro also went east, but had winds a bit stronger near the coast
9-15 Max winds show the path, and let us know it won't be too serious.
6z GFS |
0z GFS |
12z 9-14 |
0z 9-15 |
Navgem, typically the furthest east model continues to hit NJ
Even the GFS ensemble mean is hitting NJ.
9-14 Some trends, towards the west - GEFS ensembles and Hurricane models both went well west today. Gonna want to keep an eye on this.
9-13 Interesting runs. GFS started with a hit
0z GFS |
18z gfs |
The UKMET and JMA which had insisted on a FL landfall have shifted in our direction
JMA comes pretty close to the SNE before heading east.
And the NAVGEM is still troubling.
The bottom line is that a semi tropical hybrid noreaster will be nearby. Timing and exact track still need to be ironed out. Euro is super concerning, as is NAVGEM being so close. UKMET is shifting, but will it shift all the way out to sea? JMA shifted north before the eastern kick(yesterday was at OBX, today in the pocket).
Note I didn't bother with the CMC today. It spins it off ACK, hitting it 0z run and missing east for the 12z.
But I can't say there is a trend when the euro came west and the NAVGEM hasn't budged.
9-12 0z and 6z gfs runs showed just off the coast, close enough to watch. The 12z is straightforward out to sea.
Euro still has out to sea
But the UKMET still showing a FL hit
18z run has it hit Newfoundland twice....
And then there is the crazy canadian
9-11 0z runs. Not captured is the remnants of Irma pump the ridge over Jose trapping it. Then a ridge builds in Irmas upper low as it departs. Euro less bullish, but GFS has solid ridge with a H blocking to the NE.
0z Euro |
0z GFS |
9-10
Didn't really want to open a post with news of another hurricane, but Jose doesn't seem to want to go away and landfall is within 10 days now.
Todays 18z GFS run
And 12z run
vs Euro 0z
and the JMA,which did the best with IRMA
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