12-15 Watching a potentially dangerous ice storm scenario set up for NPA, NNJ, SNY, CT, RI
Its a weak low pressure which models are agreeing now that will move to our south. There will be enough of a push of warm air as illustrated by the area circled in the skewT
The good news is that the current trend is for colder air, represented by the movement south of the 0c at 850mb line, commonly used as the snow/rain line.
So there is a chance we get that line further south for some of the storm and get more snow than ice.
The euro is much colder aloft and trending this way as well.
If the euro wins this, it means more snow, less ice.
Which trend is below.
If the NAM wins, then its some ice.
If GFS wins, its a major problem
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