Saturday, March 16, 2013

March 18-19

3-19 -Low came up through the lakes, but the "warm" front did come up front loaded and we had 5" of snow before it drizzled and briefly showered rain at 32 degrees.  Temp stayed below freezing for just about all the precip, but there was not a lot of ice.

3/16
Models back and forth on this at first, settled for a storm through the lakes.  Euro/NAM /CMC showing front end snow, a few inches Monday night.  Euro has trended cold and is way different than GFS. Euro then GFS  - Euro much colder for now, almost a major snow storm.  GFS even has a few inches though. NAM Compromises.  My guess now is 2-4 inches front loaded, turning to rain.


TUE 00Z 19-MAR  -1.2    -3.7    1026      62     100    0.01     558     538    
TUE 06Z 19-MAR   0.1    -3.0    1020      91      98    0.15     557     541    
TUE 12Z 19-MAR   1.1     0.8    1010      95     100    0.56     553     544    
TUE 18Z 19-MAR   1.7     0.8    1005      87      53    0.61     545     541    
WED 00Z 20-MAR   0.0    -5.7    1006      90      14    0.02     531     525 
 GFS
TUE 00Z 19-MAR  -0.2    -1.7    1021      76      99    0.02     556     539    
TUE 06Z 19-MAR   0.9    -0.5    1015      97     100    0.34     555     542    
TUE 12Z 19-MAR   2.3     4.2    1006      99      96    0.09     552     547    
TUE 18Z 19-MAR   5.1     5.8     994      99      63    0.45     544     549    
WED 00Z 20-MAR   1.9    -7.1    1000      88      55    0.00     524     524 
 NAM
MON  8P 18-MAR  -1.0    -2.4    1021      84     100    0.04     556     539    
TUE  2A 19-MAR  -0.5     0.4    1014      94      99    0.36     555     544    
TUE  8A 19-MAR   0.5     4.6    1008      96      90    0.11     551     545    
TUE  2P 19-MAR   4.7    -2.9    1007      73      10    0.14     542     536  

Thursday, March 7, 2013

Inverted Trough

Top storm totals


HARTFORD COUNTY...
   MANCHESTER            18.5   230 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MARLBOROUGH           15.5   156 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ROCKY HILL            14.0   158 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   BURLINGTON            13.9   346 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WETHERSFIELD          12.5   157 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SOUTH WINDSOR         12.5   659 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
 
 TOLLAND COUNTY...
   STAFFORDVILLE         23.0   600 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   TOLLAND               22.5   341 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   COVENTRY              21.0   749 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   STAFFORD SPRINGS      20.5   137 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
 
 .WINDHAM COUNTY...
   ASHFORD               18.0   404 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   WOODSTOCK             17.2   340 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   POMFRET CENTER        15.0   703 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   BROOKLYN              14.0  1049 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
 
BRISTOL COUNTY...
   NORTON                22.6   430 PM  3/08  NWS EMPLOYEE
   SOUTH EASTON          22.5   851 AM  3/09  HAM RADIO
   MANSFIELD             21.5   451 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTH EASTON          21.2   738 PM  3/08  NONE
   1 W MANSFIELD         21.1   621 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
 
.ESSEX COUNTY...
   NORTH BEVERLY         18.3   419 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   BEVERLY               16.5  1144 AM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   SALEM                 16.2   130 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   TOPSFIELD             16.0   116 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER 

HAMPDEN COUNTY...
   WALES                 21.0   350 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   MONSON                18.0   349 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   EAST LONGMEADOW       11.5  1139 AM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   LUDLOW                11.0   209 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
 
MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
   DRACUT                22.1   100 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   STOW                  20.5   605 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   SHERBORN              20.0   242 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   FRAMINGHAM            18.8   338 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO 
...NORFOLK COUNTY...
   BLUE HILL OBSERVATORY 29.8   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   QUINCY                24.9   441 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   FOXBORO               24.7   550 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOUTH WEYMOUTH        24.1   233 PM  3/08  MEDIA
   RANDOLPH              24.0   530 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
 
 PLYMOUTH COUNTY...
   WHITMAN               22.5   526 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   ROCKLAND              21.5   145 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   MANSFIELD             21.0   257 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
   BROCKTON              20.0  1215 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   HANOVER               18.5   353 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
 
SUFFOLK COUNTY...
   JAMAICA PLAIN         18.0   700 AM  3/09  COOP OBSERVER
   BRIGHTON              15.0   800 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
 
WORCESTER COUNTY...
   HOLDEN                24.4   204 PM  3/08  SPOTTER
   MILFORD               24.1   410 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   CLINTON               23.4   134 PM  3/08  GENERAL PUBLIC
   OAKHAM                23.0   442 PM  3/08  HAM RADIO
 
PROVIDENCE COUNTY...
   NORTH CUMBERLAND      12.3   609 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WOONSOCKET            11.5   700 PM  3/08  MEDIA
   THOMPSON HILL         11.4   310 PM  3/08  NONE
 
...LITCHFIELD COUNTY...
   THOMASTON DAM         10.5   700 AM  3/09  CO-OP OBSERVER
   NEW HARTFORD           9.8  1227 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORFOLK                9.7   800 AM  3/09  CO-OP OBSERVER
   BAKERSVILLE            8.9   700 AM  3/09  CO-OP OBSERVER 

DUTCHESS COUNTY...
   STORMVILLE            16.5   409 AM  3/09  SPOTTER
   PINE PLAINS           13.0   300 PM  3/08  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MILLBROOK             10.1   508 PM  3/08  WEATHERNET6
 
 FAIRFIELD COUNTY...
   NEWTOWN               13.1   245 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   SHELTON               13.0   300 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   NEW CANAAN            12.8  1200 PM  3/08  CT DOT
   NEW FAIRFIELD         12.0   230 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   DANBURY               11.7   330 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER
 
NEW HAVEN COUNTY...
   SEYMOUR               14.5   230 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   WOLCOTT               14.5   220 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER
   PROSPECT              14.0   100 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER
   WOODBRIDGE            13.5  1240 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER 

ORANGE COUNTY...
   CHESTER               15.5   100 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   HARRIMAN              15.0   200 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER
   MONROE                13.2  1200 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
 NEW YORK COUNTY...
   CENTRAL PARK           4.0   400 PM  3/08  CENTRAL PARK ZOO
 
PUTNAM COUNTY...
   KENT CLIFFS           13.0  1015 AM  3/08  PUBLIC
   BREWSTER              12.0  1104 AM  3/08  PUBLIC
   MAHOPAC                8.0  1253 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER 

ESSEX COUNTY...
   CEDAR GROVE            7.5   226 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   WEST ORANGE            7.0   200 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
 
NASSAU COUNTY...
   NEW HYDE PARK          8.2   300 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   SYOSSET                8.0   800 AM  3/08  PUBLIC
 
SUFFOLK COUNTY...
   ORIENT                 7.1  1210 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER
   SHOREHAM               5.8   200 PM  3/08  SKYWARN SPOTTER
 
WESTCHESTER COUNTY...
   CHAPPAQUA             12.5  1000 AM  3/08  PUBLIC
   ARMONK                12.3  1240 PM  3/08  PUBLIC
   HAWTHORNE             10.5   830 AM  3/08  PUBLIC 
3/7 - been watching the inverted trough coming off the coastal. Its snowed here since about 1am, with a coating to wake up to as it cooled to freezing near dawn, but now its not accumulating as temps are 34-35 and sun is making it through clouds from time to time.


12z runs
GFS = .6 with surface temps 32-34
Euro = .72 with sf temps 30-33
Nam -= 1.04 with temps 28-33

Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)

 2/9  Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...