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Tuesday, June 2, 2015

June 1st... what a day

6-2   Cold front stalled to our south yesterday bringing waves of precip up and keeping temps around 50.  WFSB reported it was the coolest daytime high on record for this day.  Meanwhile in Atlantic City it was a balmy 82 degrees.   While that temperature contrast is impressive, rainfall totals were even more impressive here in Danbury.  For the day, we received 3.2 inches of rain.  But in the course of the hour between 3:30 and 4:30 we received over 2 inches.   All runoff areas flooded, the gutters on my house couldn't get rid of the water fast enough and over flowed all along the roof line.  My back patio looked like a pond.  Meanwhile I couldn't find any airport totals even close
Bridgeport reported .57"
Poughkepsie .61
Bradley 1.52
New Haven, .27
White Plains, .93.  
Oxford, .8

And its still raining and 47 degrees out today. 

Friday, April 24, 2015

The end...

The never ending winter going out with a few flurries yesterday and today, remarkably in the middle of the day.  Just briefly, but yesterday at 45 degrees, today at 39.  Euro control has last gasp on May 2 when the last of the blocking kicks down an upper level low over us, with thickness lines south of the area.  Nothing much, just a possible sprinkle, flurry.  The euro operational has a few close calls with nor'easters up until that point.  0z GFS also has this blocking and upper feature.  It keeps us near the 540 thickness line until May 5th.  6z keeps us cool until May 9th.

0z gfs
6z gfs

Monday, March 30, 2015

Late March Early April

3-31  
Then there is this surprise for Easter night, via the Euro.  The snow over PA includes todays snow.




Storm for Easter Saturday is coming together on the models.  GFS has pulled back west of us, Euro is pushing east, but still west of us.  UKIE looks to track just west.  CMC is just west.  I don't expect a southerly shift, but it may not take much.  Still a possibility it ends as snow.

This mornings GFS snow map . RGEM is with it. NAM is drier. Euro kills the precip before it gets here






HRRR has more precip, but not as snow

HRRR precip

HRRR Snow



3-30   Still stuck with this trough in the east.  Brought snow each of the last three days, all melted by noon.  Still another opportunity exists for tomorrow afternoon, but being during daylight with temps over 32, shouldn't accumulate.  Path of clipper headed further south today, but they will have even warmer temps.  Easter weekend still looks interesting - Euro still having the low pass well to our NW bringing rain, GFS is flatter with it being very close to snowing, though temps ahead of front are in the 50's.   I'll go with a rain ending as wet snow for Easter Saturday.

After that, the Euro weekly has -10c temps at 850 as late as 4/22, with another trough coming in for the end of the month with 850 temps under 0c.  The good news is that its not locked in completely.  But no 70's or 80's on that run for the NE.