April Showers, not.

April showers bring May flowers and Mayflowers bring pilgrams

In Danbury, we are well below temp wise and critically low, for May flowers, in precip.    Normal high and low for the end of the month is 67/44  Below that is the outlook for rain over the next 10 days.  Less than .01"

                     TOTALS FOR DXR   
HIGHEST TEMPERATURE   76         TOTAL PRECIP        1.21
LOWEST TEMPERATURE    23         TOTAL SNOWFALL       0.0
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE 47.7         NORMAL PRECIP       4.36
DEPARTURE FROM NORM -2.1         % OF NORMAL PRECIP    28
HEATING DEGREE DAYS  494
NORMAL DEGREE DAYS   459 

May Day

4/21
Hoping this is the last post for the winter season.  Blocking pattern sets up in a week and systems are slow to move out, plus a shot of cold air will enter Canada and slide down around the end of the month.  This picture from the gfs is the temp at 850 and precip.  Keep in mind, for now, that the precip is falling during the day which on May first, would be 99% impossible to accumulate.  But, not sure what may fall either the night before or after. 

Fun to watch - not likely at all to happen. 6zGFS 4-21

March 18-19

3-19 -Low came up through the lakes, but the "warm" front did come up front loaded and we had 5" of snow before it drizzled and briefly showered rain at 32 degrees.  Temp stayed below freezing for just about all the precip, but there was not a lot of ice.

3/16
Models back and forth on this at first, settled for a storm through the lakes.  Euro/NAM /CMC showing front end snow, a few inches Monday night.  Euro has trended cold and is way different than GFS. Euro then GFS  - Euro much colder for now, almost a major snow storm.  GFS even has a few inches though. NAM Compromises.  My guess now is 2-4 inches front loaded, turning to rain.

TUE 00Z 19-MAR  -1.2    -3.7    1026      62     100    0.01     558     538    
TUE 06Z 19-MAR   0.1    -3.0    1020      91      98    0.15     557     541    
TUE 12Z 19-MAR   1.1     0.8    1010      95     100    0.56     553     544    
TUE 18Z 19-MAR   1.7     0.8    1005      87      53    0.61     545     541    
WED 00Z 20-MAR   0.0    -5.7    1006      90      14    0.02     531     525 

 GFS

TUE 00Z 19-MAR  -0.2    -1.7    1021      76      99    0.02     556     539    
TUE 06Z 19-MAR   0.9    -0.5    1015      97     100    0.34     555     542    
TUE 12Z 19-MAR   2.3     4.2    1006      99      96    0.09     552     547    
TUE 18Z 19-MAR   5.1     5.8     994      99      63    0.45     544     549    
WED 00Z 20-MAR   1.9    -7.1    1000      88      55    0.00     524     524 

 NAM

MON  8P 18-MAR  -1.0    -2.4    1021      84     100    0.04     556     539    
TUE  2A 19-MAR  -0.5     0.4    1014      94      99    0.36     555     544    
TUE  8A 19-MAR   0.5     4.6    1008      96      90    0.11     551     545    
TUE  2P 19-MAR   4.7    -2.9    1007      73      10    0.14     542     536