2-1 Euro got much colder, below 0 at all levels at each 6 hr interval. It also has .75-1" of qpf, which is a 7-10 inch forecast. Snow map is underdone. GFS at 18z keeps the brunt of the storm under 0 at 850 for us, but still goes above eventually, with surface temps near freezing, if not just under. This is a colder shift for the gfs, and now brings the low east along LI instead of to the west. CMC is with euro, even colder. UKMET looks like it misses us south, weird.
1-30 - Models back and forth - todays runs torch with a Western dominant storm, leaving the question as to how much snow falls first, then how much ice. Not sure it completely turns to pure rain at this point, and there is time for it to flip back east again. Todays snow maps
1-27 - this bears watching, trending late today to storm
GFS - three runs with storm going west with rain, 18z heads it to our south, close enough for mixing though
Euro - heads to lakes on 0z run, 988 mb west of NY state
1-26 Next chance?