12-26 Cold week ahead. Chance of show showers, but nothing accumulating until the 30th-1st time frame. Question is does the cold air suppress storms or help them explode. Current thinking is suppression, which would mean a clipper would come through with some light snow, under 6" as long as it doesn't explode off the coast. Euro runs this morning, minus the impulse coming up the coast, illustrate this.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Tuesday, December 26, 2017
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
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