Topical pre season

5/24 - We may have our first system this weekend along the gulf coast'

Rain is likely to be the biggest problem with Euro and GFS showing over 10"

Wind gusts under 70mph for now

5-14  NHC has downgraded this to a 30% chance of forming.

5-11  GFS has been adamant forming a low off the Yucatan and bringing it up, but it remained alone until the NAM run.

5-4

Upper low responsible for this, so not technically tropical.  Should ride up coast over next 48 hrs and either just miss or hit us on Sunday.  GOES EAST is up and running on some of its tropical sectors.

Here's a look from the Carribean sector.