Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Monday, January 4, 2010
Too cold to snow
Not that its too cold, its just that the pattern has the storms being pushed so far south, they don't even show up on the CONUS. Once they form, they go into the gulf into or around FL petering out as they do.
The GFS has one storm on the entire map east of the Miss. Its the 19th and up the coast on the 0z run, 17th on the 6z and a little further inland and a great lakes cutter on the 17th for the 12z run. The 18z run has no storms at all!
This caption is the gfs at 180 hrs total precip - outside the PAC west, no other area picks up more than .5 inches of liquid.
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
1 comment:
Of course if you go back and look at the December posts, you'll see one similar. That didn't quite pan out now did it.
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