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Saturday, August 28, 2010


Setp 3
Fiona lost some energy into Earl, then suffered some shear from Earl. Then the upper feature kept going west, while the low level circ headed NE. Fiona looked like a airplane going down, trailing smoke behind her. She did get very close to Bermuda as a TS

August 30
GFS completely loses Fiona
Euro takes her into SC
NHC models and ATCF models all over the place
Hwrf goes up to nc/va border, hooks west and abruptly ends as trop storm
CMC keeps fiona well out to sea, east of earl and so does Gaston

August 29 - todays gfdl, hrwrf, and atcf models all are keeping fiona well out to sea
Euro has it going south of FL.
CMC moves it into the bahamas at 144
UKMET passes north of the bahamas at 144
GFS recurves well out to sea

Intensity has fiona at high ts or low hurricane

August 28 - todays 240 ecmwf has fiona at 72w 31n for 07 sep 7
gfs has earl at 72w32n on 0z sep3, with fiona swept out by earl

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