Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Real Heat Wave possible
The excess moisture in the ground from spring until now has been using up a lot of the suns energy, with evaporation causing some cooling. However, once that moisture is gone, then the real heat waves can get started. So far this year the high in DXR is 90. IMBY its 89. However, the last few days were in the upper 80's and no rain as dry fronts came through. This sets the stage as we cycle through another nice pattern, leading to the heat wave which the Euro shows for the end of next week. And while that ridge centered over VA brings us the heat, it will also open the Gulf up for activity, although the Euro shows no LP developing at this time. GFS also shows heat wave potential, but no tropical activity
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
1 comment:
7/16 Looks like a front is hung up and theres a possibility of a low forming at the end of it off fl/ga/sc. NHC does have their eye on it already
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