12z euro bullish on a Chesapeake hit. Maybe 978 low? 0z had week LP 1008 hitting LI/SNE with another threat brushing cape cod later in the period.
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| 12z euro |
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| 0z euro |
Here are the tracks
Euro ens are close, gfs ens keep it out.
Lots of time to change.
Friday, September 25, 2015
Trop storm threat late sept, early oct
9-25 Persistent Highs moving off NE and blocking make any energy going off the SE coast something to watch. Example is TS forming off SE Coast and hitting Delaware Bay on Oct 4. This is only one run, but there were forecasts for today to have a similar feature. The pattern is right for something to develop. Meanwhile moderate drought conditions persist in the NYC metro.
9/28 Came home to find the locals warning of a tropical storm to hit us late in the week.
12z euro bullish on a Chesapeake hit. Maybe 978 low? 0z had week LP 1008 hitting LI/SNE with another threat brushing cape cod later in the period.
12z gfs similar to 0z euro
GFDL makes me sick.
As does the hwrf
Here are the tracks
CMC keeps it going north along 70w.
Euro ens are close, gfs ens keep it out.
Lots of time to change.
12z euro bullish on a Chesapeake hit. Maybe 978 low? 0z had week LP 1008 hitting LI/SNE with another threat brushing cape cod later in the period.
Here are the tracks
Euro ens are close, gfs ens keep it out.
Lots of time to change.
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
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