2-11 A little more concerned with this one as the hrrr/rap are trending colder. Currently under WWA for 3-6, sleet and ZR. Concern is the cold doesn't leave. Bigger concern to me is the opportunity for some heavier snow coming through before it changes. Here are the vertical velocity at 700mb showing intense upward motion which leads to heavier precip. This is all during the snow phase for areas north of the Merrit.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Saturday, February 11, 2017
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
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