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Sunday, January 24, 2016

1-29

1-27  So why do I still follow this one?  Check the gfs progression of precip through todays runs.
0z

6z

12z

18z
The 18z gfs has the low crossing 40N around 65W as a 984 low.  The 0z is at 62W as a 996 low.  That's a 160 mile shift west.


The NAM moved this way too, bringing this to the cape (which may have rain mixed in)
12 z Euro also moved west to dust the cape.
As did the UKMET

So the westward trend today, along with the strengthening, keeps me interested, even if its only flurries (from the northern system that is) that hit us.  I think it may back up a little more, so that Montauk and RI get in on a dusting.

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1-26  Still out to sea, still watching, not likely going to snow.

1-25
Models are just offshore with this - close enough to still watch.  Afternoon update - most still out to sea. 
GFS
NAVGEM

Euro

CMC
UKMET

1-24
Watching for something to hit or pass us out to sea on Friday the 29th.  JMA had this yesterday, UKMET is close, Euro is in a great spot, down to 978, and the NAVGEM is also on board, just to the east, where it belongs.  GFS nowhere to be found as is the DGEX.  CMC is close enough to watch.

Euro

Navgem

CMC

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