End of January pattern change

1-24  EPS Mean over last 4 days. Watching that ridge build out west.

And JMA

 So all the models are off shore today, but they are trending west.

But wait... theres the 18z gfs ensemble mean and members - wouldn't take a lot to move this inland which would be my concern if the gfs is on this track on day five.

May need to open an actual post for this one tomorrow.

1-23  Watching a wave roll up a front.

NAVGEM

CMC

ICON

Euro is close,

 0z was a rain maker

Then there's the GFS

1-19   This is a lame entry.  But I felt I need to explain the gap in posts.  There's basically a series of storms going through the Great Lakes over the next two weeks.  This will result in some thawing, followed by some cold, then thawing.  Only chances of any snow before February would be if one of these Great Lake cutters reforms further south or is suppressed by a strong high pressure.  Or if a wave rides up the cold front following the cutter.

After February starts, we look to get cold again. Or do we?