2-21 So right now we're in a pattern typical of summer. A bermuda high is in place with a strong SE Ridge. This isn't unusual for winters. But today we hit 75 degrees. The plan is that as the ridge starts to break down, systems will ride over it, much like they do in summer. Each time a system comes through, it pushes the ridge down then it goes back up. The interesting thing is that we actually aren't that far away from snow. As one system comes through, it brings a cold front and cold air. Then if timed right, the next system enters that cold air and it either cold rains or snows. This continues until the ridge is gone in about another week. Then things change to a more cold and possibly stormy pattern with a projected negative NAO for the first time this winter.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
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