December....where's the snow.

 12-11 GFS and NAVGEM are following suit with sliding the storm on the 14th, which was originally going to the lakes, now to our south.  We may get a feature dropping a dusting to an inch as trough slips in briefly.

Euro doesn't have this feature and instead develops the upper low into a surface low and sends out to sea (GFS does this as well, just faster.) Note how warm the Euro is.

12-9  The storm below stayed to the south.  Another storm is progged to go to the lakes on the 14th.  With a few other chances between now and the 25th.  The problem is its warm and they want to go to our west.

 The euro eps and operational  have a different solution for 12-14 timeframe

For the 14th-16th, the GFS ensembles are coming in closer to the NE, as is the FV3.  But too warm for snow.

12-4

We are coming out of a cold and stormy pattern in November and December looks a bit warmer and tamer, at least until the last week.  Currently watching a storm from the 9-11th time frame that looks to be headed to the south of CT, perhaps scraping coastal areas with some light accumulation.

 In the longer range, the EPS monthly has a storm up the EC around Christmas.