Thursday, February 3, 2011

A big one shows up around the 10th

2-7 - the upper air pattern no longer supports a strong neg trough which would bring this. Instead its strung out positive, launching a few weak lows off the outerbanks. Being 72 hrs out with the energy onshore already, not likely going to adjust far enough n or w to affect us here.






GFS and Euro picking up on what could be a storm that is close to the December blizzard. Its still far out and there is plenty of time for it to drift westward in its track, but right now, the 18z wacky gfs has a 15-20 inch storm, which I would normally dismiss, but the Euro has a 12+ storm now, the 12z gfs had a 972 low just inside the benchmark, and the dgex has it just east of the bm.

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