2-7 - the upper air pattern no longer supports a strong neg trough which would bring this. Instead its strung out positive, launching a few weak lows off the outerbanks. Being 72 hrs out with the energy onshore already, not likely going to adjust far enough n or w to affect us here.
GFS and Euro picking up on what could be a storm that is close to the December blizzard. Its still far out and there is plenty of time for it to drift westward in its track, but right now, the 18z wacky gfs has a 15-20 inch storm, which I would normally dismiss, but the Euro has a 12+ storm now, the 12z gfs had a 972 low just inside the benchmark, and the dgex has it just east of the bm.
Provide a summary of the model runs for storms which may affect Fairfield County. Not a forecast, but summary of trends, positions and precip type/amount
Storm 3 - could be the one! (spoiler, it was)
2/9 Set up is an upper low over TX that heads northeast into TN valley and then transfers off the coast. At the upper levels, there's ...
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European - 0z run through w. PA; 12z run richmond up just west of hudson UK - savannah through central pa, 12z run richmond up just west of ...
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For DXR, Dec 1 to Feb 28, temps 1.6 above average, snow for entire season, 35-40 inches. Lots of ice and rain. 14 days with snow. 2 storms...
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Without any real cold air around, this one looks to be mostly rain for CT. The models are not in alignment: GFS - furthest south with low ov...
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