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Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Activity on Feb 2nd, 5th and 7th

2-3  opened separate posts for these, but the 7th became the 9th,

1-27 evening
Euro operational looks awful, but the ensemble looks great for the 2nd.  18z GFS came in with the three title storms still as well.


1-27
Looks like someone turned the winter switch on. After todays storm, we have a clipper with some light snow perhaps overnight thurs/fri. In the long range, the Euro control as storms running from the gulf to the midatlantic on the 2nd, 5th and 7th.  The 7th hits the NYC area, while the others slide off south of DC. Something to watch at least.   Euro determinstic has a similar look to the 12z gfs for the 2nd with some good front end snows, but eventually warms aloft.  Could be similar to last Saturday.


GFS long range - more snow with clipper thurs/fri, storm on 2nd hits us square on, but may give us front end snow (oddly my accuweather forecast has a high of 19 and low of -9).  The 6th and 7th have separate systems that just slide south.  Like the Euro control, somethings to watch.

GFS 12z run has a nice hit for the 2nd, 6th and almost 7th.


CMC slides the LP the 2nd to our south, but does bring some snow.  Then it gets funky around the 6th.
DGEX is rain on the 2nd.
JMA slides a wave way to our south on the 2nd.
UKMET looks like it wants to rain, but doesn't go that far out.

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