11/20 ...a little warmer in the beginning, less snow with colder more normal temps in Feb/Mar and more snow. Not expecting many 6+ storms, but we could get half the seasonal snow with one hit in Feb/Mar. Overall I'm thinking +.2 to .5 for temps and within 5" of normal for snow.
Based on looking at various outlooks by various weather agencies and other forecasters, my prediction is for a winter which will not be nearly as cold as the last few, closer to normal temps and slightly less than normal snow with a few ice storms. Aside from reading a dozen or so other forecasts, you can't ignore the El Nino, which is by many accounts the second strongest since 1950, and even stronger in some regions than 1997.
|Another look at 3.4|
|From LA Times, Region 3.4|
|Predicted fall to neutral by summer|
|Atlantic Temps = more moisture available|
|Pacific Temps = stronger storms in ST Jet|
Should throw in as a final point, that the latest (11/20) CFSv2 run for 850 temp anomalies as warmer in Jan, colder in Feb and Mar. Not sure how I feel about that.
|Feb 850 temp anomalies|
|March 850 temp anomalies|