9-5 Hermine ended up more east than any model predicted, sparing NJ from its worst, but moving tropical storm warnings up to SNE. Sunday was a beautiful day, which wasn't unexpected here, but was unexpected along the NJ shore. Today is more milky blue sky to overcast. Cloudy at the shore per Ocean City NJ Beach cams, Seaside heights beach cam. Beaches look in pretty good shape at Ship bottom and Beach Haven, though the jetties are showing again. beach haven cam
Storm should meander as predicted in the area, though not as strong as it never regained tropical characteristics. The persistent E to NE fetch should still trouble NJ and the areas along the sound, but no longer be devastating. The worst part should have been last night into this morning.
Hermine should emerge over water in the next 24 hrs. Once the trough in front lifts out, the high sets in overhead, the storm will be trapped. There will also be a trough cutting off to its west, drawing it closer into shore. Here are some depictions as to what may happen.
|Wrf-nmm at 48hrs.|